Via Refuge comes this little article that points out that almost all mainstream economists, including Keynesian cheerleaders like Paul Krugman, have admitted that we’re in a second Great Depression. But The Great Depression II is going to be worse than the first:
During October 2008, economist Fred Harrison told the Foreign Press Association in London,””The massive contraction in demand caused by this ‘wealth effect’ will condemn the western economy to a decade-long depression.”
Like some economists who alerted the Clinton and Bush administrations about the approaching economic crisis, Harrison warned future Prime Minister Gordon Brown of the looming financial danger when Brown was appointed Chancellor of the Exchequer in 1997. Brown, like Presidents Clinton and Bush, ignored the warning.
“Brown blames America for the global crisis. But every country in the world permitted property speculation, which is at the heart of boom/busts. Brown now defends himself by claiming that he tried to get global agreement on a stabilization plan. But he failed to tell the other governments about the tax reforms that could have prevented the crisis,” Harrison explained in his speech in London.
Two years later, more economists agree with Harrison. Such luminaries as Arthur Laffer and Paul Krugman are two. Although at the opposite ends of the political spectrum, both see dire times ahead for the United States: higher unemployment, a worsening of the credit crisis and housing slump, more loan defaults, more business failures and more foreclosures. Add to this economic witch’s brew the possibility of simultaneous currency deflation and inflation and you have every ingredient necessary for another extended Great Depression.
In fact some economists have begun using the term, Great Depression II.
Harrison concurs and believes that the situation has become so serious that whole nations could fail and something unseen in the West for hundreds of years could appear again: wholesale starvation of peoples in some Western countries.
But wait, if that didn’t make your stomach drop a little how about his section:
Finally, Robin Griffiths [http://www.financial-gurus.co m/gurus/9511/Robin-Griffiths/] devines the future economy from a technical market approach. Griffiths is a strategist at Cazenove Capital who recently shared with viewers of CNBC that “the world has entered significant financial depression.”
According to Griffiths “Equities are for losers and bond markets for winners. Equities are simply for people who like losing money,†Griffiths said.
“A double-dip is inevitable and imminent, as Keynesian stimulus measures have never worked anywhere. We are in the equivalent of a Great Depression following 3 years of credit crisis,†he added.
Griffith has taken a seat at the economic banquet of scarcity, austerity and gloom. The entrees at that table offer very slim pickings indeed: charts depicting a 20-year economic downturn; zero growth; possible additional contraction; massive unemployment, and the imminent collapse of governments globally.
If all that’s not enough, Griffiths points out that the United States’ shrinking M3 money supply now matches the average decline seen from 1929 to 1933.
Yeah, it’s getting bad out there. And even the people who make a living telling you it’s good are spreading the gloom.