Taxpayers Screwed on GM IPO

This is what happens when the government “invests”  tax money:

NEW YORK/DETROIT, Sept 3 (Reuters) – The U.S. government is likely to take a loss on General Motors Co [GM.UL] in the first offering of the automaker’s stock, six people familiar with preparations for the landmark IPO said.

Subsequent offerings of the government’s holdings may be profitable depending on how investors trade the newly listed stock, the sources said.

But the question of whether taxpayers are ultimately made whole on GM’s $50 billion bailout could be left open for years, the people said.

It could take more than three years for the Treasury to sell down its remaining stake in GM after the IPO, one person said. That would push a final accounting into the next presidential term.

A decision to price the initial GM shares below the cost to taxpayers would follow the usual Wall Street practice of giving the first investors in a new stock a discount, but it could also help allay investor concern in the face of the slow recovery of the U.S. economy and flat auto sales.

But how will they allay concerns about investing in a company that screwed over insured bond holders in a sham bankruptcy filing? GM still has the same UAW problems that lead to their bankruptcy and are now being forced into producing eco-cars that there will be no market for. Anyone who invests in this company deserves to get screwed.

Unfortunately for taxpayers, they have already gotten screwed and there will be no way to recoup our losses.

Border Patrol Confirms Two Mexican Military Incursions into Texas

And it’s worse than you think. It isn’t evidence of the Mexican army invading, but of them losing the war on the cartels. They have permission to make temporary incursions into our airspace in their ongoing war, but frankly since officials are claiming that the pilots “just wanted a better view” it looks more like they were either chased over by small arms fire or this is a tacit admission that the cartels actually control parts of Texas and the Mexican military needs to run recon over our borders.

Either way, this makes me nervous:

Federal officials confirmed two Mexican military helicopter incursions took place in skies over Starr and Hidalgo County today but are asking the public not to be alarmed.

Local law enforcement officials were put on alert after a Mexican military helicopter was spotted in Alto Bonito and headed east into Hidalgo County.

Sources told Action 4 News tha tthe helicopter flew from Alto Bonito and then over Sullivan City and La Joya around 1 p.m. Thursday.

Officials with U.S. Customs and Border Protection Air and Marine Operations confirmed that there were two helicopter incursions — one between 9 and 10 am. and then another at 1 p.m. Thursday.

Air and Marine Operations spokesman Juan Muñoz-Torres told Action 4 News that the agency was informed about the incursions by the Mexican government.

Muñoz-Torres said the public should not be alarmed by the incursions.

The Air and Marine Operations spokesman said that a long-standing agreement between the United States, Mexico and Canada allows for temporary incursions for medical or law enforcement purposes.

Rio Grande Valley residents have reported at least four Mexican helicopter incursions since March in communities along the border from Brownsville to Zapata.

Alto Bonito is located off U.S. Expressway 83 east of Rio Grande City and about two to three miles north of the Rio Grande river.

Muñoz-Torres said Mexican military helicopter have increased due to the ongoing drug war south of the border.

The Air and Marine Operations spokesman said Mexican military helicopters cross the border for intelligence purposes allowing officials to get another view or perspective of their target area.

“They are not performing operations in the United States,” Muñoz-Torres said.

Not yet. But soon enough, I’m sure. There’s video at the link.

h/t N.T.A.

Municipal Bond Meltdown Begins: Harrisburg, Pennsylvania Defaults

Who could have seen this coming? Besides me and every other survivalist out there:

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — The capital city Pennsylvania is broke and will be skipping this month’s multi-million dollar bond payment.

On Sept. 15, Harrisburg, Pa., was scheduled to make a $3.29 million payment on the bonds it issued to build a trash plant. But, the cash-strapped city doesn’t have the dough.

“The city’s budget is in deficit,” said Chuck Ardo, spokesman for Harrisburg Mayor Linda Thompson. “We’re looking for ways to trim the budget just to keep services going.”

“Now the chickens have come home to roost,” the mayor said in a statement released Wednesday.

In May, Moody’s knocked the rating on its general-obligation bonds three notches to B2 — five steps below investment grade. To put that into perspective: Moody’s rating on Greece’s government debt sits at A3 — still investment grade.

“It’s a warning to holders of bonds issued by financially stressed state and local governments,” said John Lonski, chief economist for Moody’s Investors Services. “Credit crisis is still with us.”

And in, fact, many on city council have been floating the idea of bankruptcy.

The worthies of Pennsylvania are, of course, claiming that if only they can raise taxes they could plug the whole. I guess they never heard of the Laffer Curve.

Harrisburg is not the only city in trouble obviously. This is just the first of many defaults to come, and the problem with that is that investors will begin to see municipal bonds for what they are: a bottomless money pit from which you will never get your returns. They are literally ponzi schemes where people make money by getting out before the last few suckers are left holding the bag.

If you’re in muni please do the research. There are very few cities which have the goods, financially speaking, and too many of them have financial problems that make them unreliable long term investments.

CNBC has a list of 12 cities that are the worst investments.

Market Watch has this to say about the default:

The decision by Harrisburg, Penn., to default on some of its general obligation bonds coming due raises questions for bond insurers more than municipal-bond investors, said Domenic Vonella, a municipal-bond analyst at Thomson Reuters. The city has well-known financing issues so it wasn’t a surprise that caused waves in Wednesday’s muni market, he said. Also, the bonds were insured, meaning investors will get paid anyways. But it could raise questions about how issuers choose which debt to default on — and if they favor defaulting on insured debt, he said. “The market wants some clarity on whether there will be some repercussions from insurances agencies,” though it’s unclear what those may include, Vonella said.

In a way Harrisburg was smart to be one of the first defaults because it can rely on the insurers to bail them out. Forbes’ Marilyn Cohen says the larger muni bond market may stay afloat, but not for reasons that will make most investors comfortable:

So with sales tax, income tax and property tax revenues declining, can we expect more defaults like Harrisburg, Vallejo and Central Falls Rhode Island?  As long as the municipal bond market continues to be so forgiving and allow refinancing and new issuance to come so cheaply—and—as long as the retail feeding frenzy continues, then defaults will continue to be rare.

And that’s not a sure set of circumstances. The article also speculates on what other major cities will default:

The City of Los Angeles – Former Los Angeles Mayor Richard Riodan has said in Wall Street Journal  editorials that the only way out of its financial difficulties is for the City of Los Angeles to file for bankruptcy sometime in the future.

The Metropolitan Pier & Exposition Authority of Illinois has seen revenue deterioration and according to Moody’s is “no longer able to meet debt service requirements and has caused the authority to tap into sales tax revenues.”  But all sales tax revenues throughout the county are deteriorating;  that’s not a sure safety net.

San Diego, CA, – San Diego’s name continues to float in and out of the bankruptcy banter but always loudly protests.

As more cities default bond insurers will be unable to pay everyone so if you’re investing keep that in mind.

National Inflation Association Says U.S Headed for Complete Societal Collapse

Their release spends a lot of time crunching numbers, but I think the money quote is here:

There are now 50 million Americans on Medicaid, with annual Medicaid costs rising 36% over the past two years to $273 billion. The recently enacted health care bill will add 16 million more Americans to Medicaid beginning in 2014, but the U.S. government will likely go bust by then. It is impossible to have an economic recovery when jobless benefits are encouraging Americans to stay unemployed. U.S. unemployment insurance spending has nearly quadrupled since 2007 to $160 billion annually. Even food stamp costs have surged 80% over the past two years to $70 billion annually.

Once Americans get used to receiving and relying on government entitlement programs, it is hard to wean them off of them. NIA has been hearing reports from members with friends who say they will only “come out of retirement” if they can find a job that pays $25 per hour or more, because with anything less it wouldn’t be worth losing their jobless and food stamp benefits. Americans expect to receive their jobless benefits forever and we are sure Obama will continue to extend them leading up to the 2012 election.

There are now countless warning signs all around us on a daily basis that the U.S. is headed for a complete societal collapse. NIA received an overwhelming response from its members when we asked you to submit any signs you see that a societal collapse is near. The response we received was so strong that we are now beginning to produce a documentary about America’s upcoming collapse of society. The documentary will be over an hour long and we are hoping to release it by the end of October. It will go beyond the economic facts and statistics that were discussed in ‘Meltup’ and help expose the upcoming collapse from a real life perspective. NIA believes this documentary will appeal to a very mainstream audience and help open up the world’s eyes to the truth about the path this country is on.

Looking forward to the movie but their conclusion comes a little late. TEOTWAWKI has already happened, the world just hasn’t felt it yet.

h/t Survival Blog

Fox News Discovers Food Inflation

This is the catalyst to the collapse coming. JP Morgan announced in a report that stores were sheltering customers from the food price increases in hopes of not losing customers, but that can only last so long.

Americans are still feeling the pinch though, partly due to factors not related to our economic troubles at all but they will accentuate them.