Home Sales Hit 13-Year-Low

So much for that recovery we keep hearing about:

WASHINGTON (AP) – The number of people who bought previously owned homes last year fell to the lowest level in 13 years, and economists say it will be years before the housing market fully recovers.

High unemployment and a record number of foreclosures are deterring potential buyers who fear home prices haven’t reached the bottom. Job growth is expected to pick up this year, but not enough to raise home sales to healthier levels.

“We built too many houses during the boom, and now after the crash, it will take us a long time to get back to normal,” said David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor’s in New York.

The National Association of Realtors reported Thursday that sales dropped 4.8 percent to 4.91 million units in 2010. That was slightly fewer than in 2008, which had been the weakest year since 1997.

The poor year for sales did end on a stronger note. Buyers snapped up homes at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.28 million units in December, the best sales pace since May and the 12.8 percent rise from November was the biggest one-month surge in 11 years.

Gains in mortgage rates may have spurred some fence-sitters to buy homes in December before rates moved higher, analysts noted.

The increase was an encouraging sign after a dismal year for home sales, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. But he cautioned against raising expectations for a rapid recovery in housing.

“The job market is still very weak, and unemployment is very high. Until we get more jobs, people will be reticent about buying homes,” he said.

This is only a surprise to people who haven’t been paying attention. We have not hit the bottom of the housing market by any means and most houses are still over valued. The days of buying a home as an investment are over, we need to go back to thinking of a home as a place we want to live.

Brazil’s Central Bank Raises Interest Rates to 11.25%

Which will actually hurt you and me in some not so surprising ways. From Breitbart:

Brazil’s central bank raised its key interest rate half a percentage point to 11.25 percent late Wednesday, amid fears that inflation was getting out of hand.

The move, though, adds to upward pressure on Brazil’s currency, the real, whose soaring value against the dollar has already become problematic for the country’s exporters.

The central bank’s monetary policy committee decided the interest rate hike unanimously, the institution said in a statement.

Market observers had been expecting the increase, the first since July last year.

Inflation last year quickened to 5.91 percent, well above the government’s target of 4.5 percent.

[…]

Although hiking the interest rate will make credit purchases more expensive in Brazil, it will also further enhance the country’s allure to foreign investors who are guaranteed rate-linked returns higher than for any other big economy in the world.

That will inevitably push the real up further against the dollar.

It has already soared more than 100 percent against the greenback over the past eight years and looked likely to climb further despite government efforts to tax foreign capital for fixed-income investments and heightened deposit requirements for domestic banks making foreign exchange bets against the real.

The move also makes Brazilian commodities, such as iron ore, soya beans, orange juice and coffee, more expensive on the world market, undercutting exporters’ performance.

So this will add pressure to are already pressured Municipal bond market by making investment in Brazil more profitable, and will raise the prices of things like coffee and orange juice which are already getting too expensive. Stock up. There’s a deal for $30.00 off a 40oz Dunkin Donuts  ground coffee bag on Amazon right now.

Nothing to Worry About: 200 Dead Cows Die Overnight in Wisconsin, Millions Infected in South Korea

So awful is Infectious Bovine Rhinotracheitis that a farmer can walk out one morning and find over 200 cows dead in his field, even though there was no evidence they were sick before. But the owner also believes it could have been Bovine Virus Diarrhea. See no one knows but don’t worry.

And don’t worry about the deaths of millions of cattle in South Korea:

In South Korea a potential economic collapse and food shortage may be in the offing due to an outbreak of Hoof-and-Mouth disease. 1.4 million cattle and pigs have been slaughtered in South Korea in an attempt to get ahead of the fast spreading, highly contagious and completely devastating disease. That amounts to 8% of the total livestock in that country.

Meat prices throughout the nation are soaring as a result. The outbreak of Hoof-and-Mouth disease in South Korea began back on November 28 and has spread across much of the nation despite massive efforts by the South Korean government to contain the disease.

Quarantines are in effect, and 68,000 soldiers have been called out to assist regional forces involved in the destruction of infected livestock. Losses are expected to reach $1.2 billion dollars. The soaring cost of meat has added to already inflated food prices.

In addition to battling the outbreak of Hoof-and-Mouth disease South Korea was hit by another outbreak of (H5N1) avian flu, or bird flu, at the end of December, 2010. More than 40,000 poultry have been destroyed.

Hoof-and-mouth disease is a horrific, but commonly known occurrence in livestock so while tragic, what it occurring in South Korea doesn’t seem related to the “mysterious” deaths of other animals around the world.

Sure seems like we should be worrying to me. Animals are dying off at an alarming rate and that will keep us from having enough food. But hey, nothing to see here.

Huge Snowstorm, Frigid Temperatures this Week

According to Accuweather anyway. About 1/3 of the country will be getting snow and ice so make sure you’re well stocked:

The storm will be a “two-parter.” The first part will roll southeastward along the Front Range of the Rockies this weekend, spreading accumulating snow over the I-25 corridor in the northern and central Rockies.

The storm is entering British Columbia, Canada now and will spread low-elevation rain and mountain snow into part of the Northwest later Friday into Saturday. The ground could be whitened around Seattle Saturday night.

A swath of moderate to heavy snow will stretch from western and central Montana to central and eastern Colorado. If you have flights in or out of Denver Sunday, expect delays with several inches of snow possible.

A bit of slippery snow will also spill west of the Divide into Salt Lake City and Boise.

Essentially, for the Plains, the zone from the I-40 to I-70 corridors appears to be in the thick of this one. Snow will spread over part of the southern and central Plains Sunday into Monday. Amarillo, Pueblo, Wichita, Kansas City and perhaps Oklahoma City could all be impacted.

As the storm rolls eastward, it will undergo changes with a transfer of energy likely toward a new storm forming near the Gulf Coast. We have seen it before during this season.

Since the cold will be so deeply entrenched in the South and moisture will be carried eastward from the Rockies, snow and ice will likely fall over the interior South, while snow still falls as far north as the Ohio Valley during the Sunday-Monday period.

Problems with ice or a wintry mix may extend as far south as the I-20 corridor, especially in Alabama and Georgia. At the same time, accumulating snow will still reach into St. Louis and Cincinnati, while Nashville and at least the suburbs around Atlanta could be in for a nasty wintry mix, or even an ice storm.

The risk of an ice storm would become more prevalent over upstate South Carolina and northern and western North Carolina Sunday night and Monday, including Charlotte, Winston-Salem and perhaps Richmond.

The same storm will bring drenching, needed rain to the Deep South, according to AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Heather Buchman.

From here it is all about the southern storm taking over as the dominant feature, possibly spreading a swath of heavy snow into the I-95 Northeast, with a wintry mix in southern Virginia, Delmarva and perhaps South Jersey.

If behaving as some of our forecast tools suggest at this point, the storm would be sizable enough to throw significant snow over the northern and western suburbs from Washington, D.C. and Philadelphia to New York City and Boston.

The snowstorm would hit the mid-Atlantic on Tuesday, then New England late Tuesday into early Wednesday.

Here’s a video report.

Time to Start Thinking About Alternative Transportation

Fuel prices is going to be a big story this year, as the video below explains. I’ve been a long time putterer, preferring to walk places because though time consuming I really enjoy it but I have wrecked my knees with 20+ years of 10 mile hikes on hard city sidewalks. In the cold weather I ache like an old man so I’m thinking about a bike of some type for grocery trips.

There’s a lot of electric scooters and mopeds on the market. I found two pretty decent ones on Amazon for under $2,000. Extreme scooters’ XB-502 and XB-600 are very cheap stop gaps that can get you to the grocery and back – if you don’t have to shop for a large family. They are $799.00 and $875 respectively and I heard you can get a quite a few years out of them. Of course you get what you pay for but these babies can be shipped to your door now.

But if you live in areas where you’re only connected by highways you’re going to be boned. Sorry sub-division dwellers.

When I was in grad school I lived about a half-mile from the big grocery store and I just slapped on a backpack for my shopping trips. If you’re in walking distance it’s going to be more economical, and healthier, to make a couple of trips with a ruck than burn $5/gallon gas. And frankly I think the $5 target is best case scenario. I used a large camping backpack, which may look silly but who’ll be laughing when you have extra money in your pocket at the end of the week? But a good sized daypack, like the 5.11 3 Day Rush is probably suitable for most single peoples or couples needs. Again, large families need more supplies than you can hump unless one of you is unemployed and can spend their week shopping but some of you young people out there can certainly save gas by hoofing it.

This is, again, in my opinion conservative. I personally think that by 2012 $7.00 gas is a possibility: